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For Gore's critics, inconvenient corroboration - from climate scientists
From a story published Tuesday by The Associated Press --
WASHINGTON -- The nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy.
The former vice president's movie -- replete with the prospect of a flooded New York City, an inundated Florida, more and nastier hurricanes, worsening droughts, retreating glaciers and disappearing ice sheets -- mostly got the science right, said all 19 climate scientists who had seen the movie or read the book and answered questions from The Associated Press.
According to the story, the AP contacted more than 100 top climate researchers by phone and email, among them "vocal skeptics of climate change theory." Most of those contacted have not read the book or seen the movie.
"But those who have seen it had the same general impression: Gore conveyed the science correctly; the world is getting hotter and it is a manmade catastrophe-in-the-making caused by the burning of fossil fuels."
Here's what two of the scientists quoted in the story had to say --
"Excellent," said William Schlesinger, dean of the Nicholas School of Environment and Earth Sciences at Duke University. "He got all the important material and got it right."
Robert Corell, chairman of the worldwide Arctic Climate Impact Assessment group of scientists, read the book and saw Gore give the slideshow presentation that is woven throughout the documentary.
"I sat there and I'm amazed at how thorough and accurate," Corell said. (blogger's note - this is how the quote reads in the AP story; presumably Corell is saying '... how thorough and accurate it was ...'). "After the presentation I said, 'Al, I'm absolutely blown away. There's a lot of details you could get wrong.' ... I could find no error."
Which is not to say the documentary got it right across the board, the AP reports, but "the tiny errors scientists found weren't a big deal." Follow this link to read the story in its entirety.
More info on "An Inconvenient Truth" can be found at the website for the film, climatecrisis.net.
(photo credit, thespaceplace.com)
42 comments
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Believe what you want Neil... Personally, I think it best to try to do something about climate change... Whatever and as much as we can.
What is it going to do besides improve our lives?
Have you noticed how we don't hear claims like that much anymore, Neil? Within a few years, bold assertions that we can pump carbon into the atmosphere with impunity and without consequence will be just as rare.
Someone else said not long ago,
"The GW debate doesn't need to follow the scientific method because liberals, who think they are smarter than normal people, figure we should just follow the 'litany' without question. After all, as they say; "the truth doesn't matter, we're out to save the world".
http://www.epw.senate.gov/pressitem.cfm?party=rep&id=257909
Your last comment is based on the assumption that I'm a liberal. You are no more accurate about my political beliefs than you are about the alleged lack of evidence of human-induced climate change.
That's really what this blog post is about right, another reason we need Cape Wind?
I am always wearing of any studies when the people conducting the studies depend directly on their own conclusion for a pay check.
Global Warming is a major debate, just like Cape Wind. But even if what you say is true, Cape Wind will do little or nothing to influence the climate.
Cape Wind and its supporters have stated repeatedly that Cape Wind is not the solution, it is one of many things we must do - all of which are opposed by political and economic entities with a vested interest in maintaining an unsustainable status quo.
In fact, when it comes to generating electricity, you would be hard pressed to find a better approach than to generate three-quarters of the electricity used by a quarter of a million people in the course of a year with no greenhouse gases, pollution or millions of gallons pumped in daily to cool the turbines, as required at fossil fuel and nuclear plants.
The objective of reducing pollution is seemingly coherent enough to me.
No need to "play... against" anybody.
Only a fool would object.
Recycling, switching to fluorescent bulbs, maintaining a compost pile, riding mass transit, are all low impact ways to improve the environment. Even if Cape Wind was a step in that direction it is a high impact ‘solution.’ Compared to its costs to the public, its benefits are minor in my opinion.
In theory wind power may seem to be an ideal way to generate electricity, but in practice it is not at all. Because of its unreliability, wind power cannot provide base load power.
And the often-heard spin about “free fuel with locked in rates”? Look what happened to Airtricity in Ireland. In February they had to advise their residential customers to switch to other electric providers, because Airtricity rates were heading through the roof.
The June 27, 2006 Associated Press (AP) article titled “Scientists OK Gore’s Movie for Accuracy” by Seth Borenstein raises some serious questions about AP’s bias and methodology.
AP chose to ignore the scores of scientists who have harshly criticized the science presented in former Vice President Al Gore’s movie “An Inconvenient Truth.”
In the interest of full disclosure, the AP should release the names of the “more than 100 top climate researchers” they attempted to contact to review “An Inconvenient Truth.” AP should also name all 19 scientists who gave Gore “five stars for accuracy.” AP claims 19 scientists viewed Gore’s movie, but it only quotes five of them in its article. AP should also release the names of the so-called scientific “skeptics” they claim to have contacted.
The AP article quotes Robert Correll, the chairman of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment group. It appears from the article that Correll has a personal relationship with Gore, having viewed the film at a private screening at the invitation
The AP also chose to ignore Gore’s reliance on the now-discredited “hockey stick” by Dr. Michael Mann, which claims that temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere remained relatively stable over 900 years, then spiked upward in the 20th century, and that the 1990’s were the warmest decade in at least 1000 years. Last week’s National Academy of Sciences report dispelled Mann’s often cited claims by reaffirming the existence of both the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age. See Senator Inhofe’s statement on the broken “Hockey Stick.” (http://epw.senate.gov/pressitem.cfm?party=rep&id=257697 )
Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT, wrote:
“A general characteristic of Mr. Gore's approach is to assiduously ignore the fact that the earth and its climate are dynamic; they are always changing even without any external forcing. To treat all change as something to fear is bad enough; to do so in order to exploit that fear is much worse.” - Lindzen wrote in an op-ed in the June 26, 2006 Wall Street Journal
Gore’s film also cites a review of scientific literature by the journal Science which claimed 100% consensus on global warming, but Lindzen pointed out the study was flat out incorrect.
There is more.....
Roy Spencer, principal research scientist for the University of Alabama in Huntsville, wrote an open letter to Gore criticizing his presentation of climate science in the film:
“…Temperature measurements in the arctic suggest that it was just as warm there in the 1930's...before most greenhouse gas emissions. Don't you ever wonder whether sea ice concentrations back then were low, too?”- Roy Spencer wrote in a May 25, 2006 column.
"The survey that Gore cites was a single transect across one part of the Arctic basin in the month of October during the 1960s when we were in the middle of the cooling period. The 1990 runs were done in the warmer month of September, using a wholly different technology,” –Tim Ball said, according to the Canadian Free Press.
Of course none of this will ever see the light of a newspaper because it doesn't fit the template of doom and gloom media, but I had to post it to rebut the AP story which Coleman feels is creditable and I feel is not.
As an anonymous statistician once said: “Those with data have the facts, all others have an opinion.”
As far as wind power being intermittent therefore not useful is bogus. There are many gap fillers. Wind could easily replace 20% of the nations electrical demand while using gas or oil fired combustion turbines as peaker units or even better, pumped storage hydro systems that pump water up to a reservoir when wind power is in excess, hence low cost, then reverse as hydro generators when a gap or peak needs to be filled. You can’t store electricity on the grid, but you can store energy in the form of natural gas and oil or elevated water.
Regards,
Chuck Kleekamp
I said wind power could not provide base load power. That's a fact isn’t it?
And wind power will always remain intermittent, which does cut into its usefulness.
It’s also highly improbable that wind can ‘easily’ replace 20% of the nation’s electrical demand. The costs, including grid upgrades and having those gap fillers you describe always on standby would be extremely high.
I know that you and other wind advocates believe 20% has been ‘achieved’ in Denmark, but convincing proof has not been published. There is plenty of propaganda on the other hand about how wonderful those 5550+ wind turbines in Denmark supposedly are. They probably produce only about 5-8% of the nation’s power, and people in Denmark are catching on.
That wind power cannot provide base load power would be a problem if we were to rely exclusively on wind for electricity. Neither Cape Wind nor any other advocates for wind energy are suggesting we do this. If I am mistaken, Neil, please cite where that claim has been made.
As for your assertion that people in Denmark are "catching on" to wind power, this helps explain why the Danes are moving forward with plans to double the size of the two biggest offshore wind farms in the world.
The extent to which turbines are built offshore limits the number needed on land, and older, less efficient turbines are the first to be retired when new offshore turbines are built.
The op-ed cited by McFly goes on to claim that "only 13" of the "remaining" 913 articles "explicitly endorsed the so-called consensus view" on global warming.
But that's not what Gore said about the Science article, nor what the article itself stated, as I recall from the movie. What was stated was that none of the articles rejected the premise that human-induced activity is contributing to global warming - an important difference.
If the journal Science was in error, and Gore by extension, for not citing the number of articles expressing skepticism about the "so-called consensus view," that should be corrected. Oddly enough, the writer of the WSJ op-ed fails to cite the exact number of scientists expressing this skepticism, instead resorting to a vague "several."
Just because scientists do not reject a hypothesis doesn't mean they support it either. I think we covered that in 7th grade science class.
The fact is that there is just enough debate for scaremongers to use whatever they can to make a buck and not enough science to stop the exploitation by disingenuous people.
As to your claim that it "cannot be proven false or true" that human activity is contributing to global warming, this is based on what, wishful thinking on your part?
I’m not saying anyone has suggested wind power can provide base load power. Even well informed wind supporters know that’s impossible, and uninformed wind supporters don’t know what base load power is. Many wind skeptics don’t know either.
But it’s implied that wind power is a good thing, and that it should be encouraged wherever it will fit. I say wind power is not always a good thing and it does not go well with Nantucket Sound.
The Danes are tired of all the windmills on land and they have started to send them out to sea. That is true. They admit it.
Where has it been "proven" that human activity is contributing to global warming?
So smoking causes cancer, true, however the earth has warmed and cooled for a trillion years over and over again. How long have people been on earth? How many years have we been burning fossil fuels in mass? Not long enough to conclude that it's humans that have caused this cycle of warming or to conclude that this is not just a normal cycle. Unless of course there is money to be made, then of course, it's fossil fuels causing the warming and we need a wind farm to help stop the warming. Nobody knows for sure and I have yet to read any study that says conclusively anything to the contrary.
Not all sailboats have engines, incidentally. Years ago my family owned a catboat and it never had an engine. In decades of sailing on Buzzards Bay, I recall only two occasions when we needed a tow after the wind died. Most good sailors know when conditions are good for sailing, and when they can venture far from shore. The wind is to natives of the Cape what snow is to Eskimos; it's in our blood.
As for sailboats being used "only" for recreation, this is a modern phenomenon. For thousands of years before the modern era, sailing vessels were used for fishing, hauling goods, military purposes and the like. There wasn't much recreation involved.
As for the proof of global warming you seek, the same documentary we both saw last week laid out the evidence in a well-documented and compelling manner. Clearly it made little impression on you.
Al Gore’s movie did make an impression on me- I’m more convinced than before that global warming is not a threat.
I saw his powerpoint show long before I saw the movie, and I saw problems in both.
Would probably get a smile from me if many of those opposed along the shoreline got swamped when the ice really begins to melt...
It's coming sooner than they would like to think.
Screw em.
In case you've forgotten, Koch won the America's Cup, the premiere sailing competition in the world, back in 1992, I believe it was. Safe to say he has spent a considerable amount of money over the years pursuing this beloved pastime, as have the Kennedys.
Presumably they would not have done so if wind were anywhere near as unreliable as you claim.
Is this a joke? Am I on candid camera?
I’ve never heard anyone say generating electricity was a pastime.
Sex with a woman is much more pleasurable...
For that matter... A fine tuned fart will do the job just fine if you need a release.
Give it up... You cannot talk sense to nonsense. Blow it up there's... Is the best you can do.
Read his Op Ed
http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110008597
In his movie, Al tells a story where his sixth grade teacher knows nothing about the continental drift theory. He lost me right there. The ‘drift’ theory was a huge deal in the media and elsewhere in the 1950’s and 1960’s. I bet it was part of Al Gore’s elementary school science curriculum, just like it was in my school.
Al changes facts or ignores them when they conflict with his crusade, but he means well and I still like him.
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A Bourne native, Jack Coleman is a writer, editor and blogger who began writing about the Cape Wind project in November 2001 at the Cape Cod Times, where he worked as a reporter and bureau chief. He and his wife and their two children live in Plymouth, along with their Burmese cat, Tug. Read his archives here. Jack's email address is polnotes@yahoo.com
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It's 'correctly', but other scientists say 'no' he did not.