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The Allure of German Wind

So it appears as though Representative Delahunt likes wind power. He's going on a junket to Germany to investigate. All's well on the European front at Borkum West. And that's the allure of deepwater wind.

But... he doesn't like it in the shallow waters of Nantucket Sound. "[He's] concerned about the project's impact on the environment there," said Mark Forest, Delahunt's spokesman [1]. Pardon us while we mention that after five years and thousands of pages of reports on the environmental impacts of the Cape Wind project it has been determined time and time again that the many positive public benefits far outweigh any negative environmental impact. 

So what to do? Delahunt will ask German experts to assess the feasibility of coastal sites in deep water here, reports Sue Reinert in The Patriot Ledger [2]. Albeit the Germans haven't built any offshore windfarms yet. But not to worry. "If we can interest them in Massachusetts... we could be talking not only about the development of a renewable energy site, but also of binging new jobs to this area," Delahunt said [3].

It's as if the German government will donate $65 million [4] to Massachusetts for an experimental deepwater windfarm in Massachusetts as they are at home. Nice try, but really?

The reality of deepwater wind

Experimental? Well... yes. Hopefully our seemingly wind energy embracing Congressman knows that this is the first German offshore project. It's called Borkum West, a joint research program launched by the government and energy utilities Vattenfall, E.ON, EWE AG, and wind-turbine manufacturers REpower and Multibrid. The utilities are adding $165 million to build the small 12-turbine wind farm in water up to 100 feet deep in the Baltic Sea some 35 miles from land [5].

But that's not all... (to mimic the typical TV come-on). The cost of that long landfall cable will be nearly $240 million with another donation of $40 million by the German State [6].

So what's the price of the Borkum experimental windfarm? The total cost is $470 million for this 60 megawatt (MW) project and reveals a unit investment of almost $8 million per MW installed.

The German project is not unlike the Talisman experiment off Scotland in water 150 feet deep at a price of about $6 million/MW installed [7].  It's another government sponsored research project where much of the cost is in individual four-legged lattice type steel foundations that weigh 1,250 tons [8] for each turbine. And the Talisman price tag doesn't include a landfall cable.

Not to throw water on costly research projects, which is always a necessary and commendable step to future progress, but there needs to be a word of prudence.  In a cautious statement Talisman Energy has said "current forecasts for electricity prices will never render this Demonstrator Project economic." [9]

Back from the future

Hopefully, while Delahunt is in Europe he will stop in Denmark, Sweden, and England where he could examine fourteen operating shallow water windfarms and another eleven under construction [10]. With 15 years of operational experience with negligible environmental impacts, these economically viable projects are indeed models for the world at large.

Shallow water windfarms in Europe at depths up to 60 feet have established a unit expenditure of about $2.5 million/MW installed [11]. That's about the same as expected for the Cape Wind project. At that level, a reasonable profit can be made without government subsidies for construction. And it's being done now with a maturing mono-pole technology.

It's a long reach to believe that one can jump to deepwater wind at three times the capital cost believing the investment can be significantly reduced through price reductions on tripod or quadra-pile steel towers and costly undersea cable technology [12]. Even the economic tradeoffs of stronger winds far offshore must be balanced with impediments to servicing turbines in higher wave heights that result in a lower availability due to extended down time.  

Must we wait?

The question is should we be a victim of procrastination waiting 10 to 20 years for the deployment of economically viable deepwater wind energy systems both here and in Europe?

In the mean time, we can make significant progress to mitigate global warming on a local basis by avoiding a million tons of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fueled generators by building the Cape Wind project in Nantucket Sound now [13]. As Nathanael Greene, senior policy analyst, Natural Resources Defense Council says, "the Cape Wind project is, to our knowledge, the largest single source of supply side reductions in CO2 currently proposed in the US."  

Progress from shallow to gradually deeper alternative sites off New England as listed in both the Army Corps and MMS documents [14] await only proposals and permitting decisions from federal agencies.

Alas, if in 20 years deepwater wind is firmly established as an economically viable source of electricity, the early shallow water projects can be removed. In fact a decommissioning bond is required as part of the federal lease for Cape Wind.

We believe it's essential to begin in Nantucket Sound with current proven technology and evolve to deeper water as the learning curve levels out to where the inevitable price increase of diminishing fossil fuels and their expensive emission controls makes more costly deepwater wind viable.

We do agree with Representative Delahunt that ‘‘Wind is to New England what oil is to Saudi Arabia.'' [15]. However, it would be a tragedy to wait a decade or two for unfounded reasons and the unknown economic advantages of deepwater wind when we can start now.

Barbara Hill

Executive Director, Clean Power Now 

Charles Kleekamp, P.E. Ret.

Vice President, Clean Power Now
 _____________________________

Footnotes:

1. "Delahunt on wind power mission: In Germany, he'll discuss feasibility of deep-water projects off N.E. coast," by Sue Reinert, The Patriot Ledger, January 23, 2007.

2. Ibid., Ledger

3. "Going deep to renew energy," by Karen Jeffery, Cape Cod Times, January 17, 2007.

4. "Germany eyes offshore wind," UPI, December 1, 2006.

5. Ibid., UPI

6. Ibid., UPI

7. "The Allure of deep-water wind power," by Charles Kleekamp, The Upper Cape Codder, June 1, 2006. Talisman is using the same Repower 5 MW turbines as proposed for 6 of the Borkum turbines.

8. "Beatrice Wind Farm Demonstrator Project Scoping Report," Talisman Energy, Section 3.4 Method of Fixing Substructure to Seabed, p. 10 of 57.

9. Q&A Talisman Energy, http://www.beatricewind.co.uk/

10. List of operating offshore windfarms in Europe. Denmark: Vindeby 1991, Tuno Knob 1995, Middelgrunden 2001, Horns Rev 2002, Nysted 2003, Samsoe 2003. Sweden: Gotland-Bockstigen 1998, Utgrunden 2001, Yttre Stengrund 2001. Ireland: Arklow Bank 2003. United Kingdom: North Hoyle 2003, Scroby Sands 2004, Barrow Offshore 2006, Kentish Flats 2005.  List of offshore windfarms under construction now and scheduled during 2007: Sweden: Oresund Lillgrund. Netherlands: Egmond NWS, Windpark Q7-WP. United Kingdom: Inner Dowsing, Lynn Skegness, Gunfleet Sands, Rhyl Flats, Burbo Bank, Teeside, Robin Rigg, Shell Flat

11. "Offshore Wind Energy Potential for the United States," Walt Musial, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Wind Powering America - Annual State Summit, May 19, 2005, Slide #4: Shallow offshore costs range from 1500€/kW to 2200 €/kW, Horns Rev ~1650€/kW. In U.S. dollars, that's about $1.95 to $2.86 million/MW with Horns Rev at $2.15 million/MW.

12. An example is the Cross Sound Cable between Connecticut and Long Island constructed in 2002 is a high-voltage direct current (HVDC) system. It is 25 miles long and can transmit a maximum power of 330 MW. It cost $150 million.

13. "Findings of the Massachusetts Energy Facility Siting Board,"  EFSB 02-2, July 2, 2004, p. 168.

14. List of alternate sites just off the Massachusetts coast mentioned are: Tuckernuck Shoal, Handkerchief Shoal, South of Tuckernuck Island, Nantucket Shoals, Monomoy Shoals and East of Nauset Beach.

15. "Going deep to renew energy," by Karen Jeffrey, Cape Cod Times, January 17, 2007.

 

About Clean Power Now

Clean Power Now is a non-profit grassroots organization that informs citizens and empowers them to support viable renewable energy projects and policies, and to secure their local and regional benefits.

We believe that the timely development of such projects, in conjunction with energy efficiency and conservation, will bring about a clean, healthy environment, an improved economy and a more secure, sustainable America.

Our immediate focus is to increase citizen support of offshore wind power in Nantucket Sound.

7 comments
Blog posts and comments are entirely the thoughts and ideas of the people who write them and in no way represent the views of CapeCodToday.com, eCape, Inc., or its employees or owners.

02/10/07 @ 1:54 pm
neil good [Member] writes:
Chuck,

Correct me if I’m wrong but I believe the Germans have a regulation in place that does not allow offshore wind power plants to be built any closer than 30 kilometers, or about 18 miles, to the nearest coastline.

Doesn’t that say something about just how alluring wind power is to the Germans?
02/10/07 @ 8:12 pm
barbaradurkin [Member] writes:
Chuck:

Pardon us, but after five years and thousands of pages, Cape Wind and Clean Power Now have determined, time and time again, that the many positive public benefits far outweigh any negative environmental impacts of Cape Wind.

The federal regulatory reviewing agency, USFWS, hasn't received the information from Cape Wind that they need to make an informed decision about the environmental impacts of this project; and they have repeatedly requested the same since 2002.

A Problem with Wind Power by Eric Rosenbloom

“A German Energy Agency study released in February 2005 after some delay stated that increasing the amount of wind power would increase consumer costs 3.7 times and that the theoretical reduction of greenhouse gas emissions could be achieved much more cheaply by simply installing filters on existing fossil-fuel plants. A similar conclusion was made by the Irish grid manager in a study released in February 2004 the cost of CO2 abatement arising from using large levels of wind energy penetration appears high relative to other alternatives."
http://www.aweo.org/ProblemWithWind.html
02/10/07 @ 8:16 pm
barbaradurkin [Member] writes:
Germany’s Wind Farms Challenged

by Jim Bowler BBC World Service business reporter, Alsleben, Germany

“The country's great hope for is for a future of green energy, and in particular wind power.”

“Critics say this underlines one essential drawback: you can't depend on wind for energy. Even if you build wind farms you still need conventional power plants in case the wind fails.”

“However, some observers are now questioning whether all the investment in wind power makes economic sense.”

“More of the costs will be pushed to the domestic sector.”
Professor Wolfgang Pfaffenberger, Bremen International University
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/
business/4944046.stm
02/10/07 @ 9:55 pm
neil good [Member] writes:
From Scotland today;

“Dishonest to Ignore Flaws in Wind Power”

http://business.scotsman.com/management.cfm?id=221502007

"...The place for the renewable power enthusiast is in the political arena, once the hard facts have been established.”

“There is a great deal of deliberate dishonesty in this debate.”

“Wilfully ignored is that wind power locks us into carbon production, for the expensive back-up generators needed during the down-times must be carbon producers, gas, coal or oil. Also ignored is the carbon cost of the extra economic activity necessary to pay the enormous subsidies needed to meet the high costs of renewables and of the back-up power stations.”

“It may well be that when the sums are done, with honesty and rigor, the switch to wind power will actually increase the overall carbon emissions; though of course high energy prices driving industry and jobs abroad, would have a very beneficial effect on our carbon emissions. This would be a great consolation in the dark winter's nights.”

David J Hogg, Edinburgh
02/11/07 @ 1:06 pm
Chuck Kleekamp [Member] writes:
On German Wind

It is indeed true that unlike other northern European nations most of the 29 offshore wind farm applications in Germany are at significant distances (30 to 40 km) from shore in deep water over 60 feet, although not all.

The expected return on private investment of these expensive to develop deep water sites may well explain why German utilities have not built any to date.

In their effort to curb global warming the Germans have built several thousand land based wind turbines. The problem is that the land winds are not very strong resulting in an average capacity factor (CP) of only 16%. And worse, there are periods in summer when the land wind is very low for several days at a time resulting in the need for large amounts of back up fossil plants. And they are well aware of their dilemma... hence the need for heavy government subsidies for construction costs for their first experimental offshore project.

This doesn’t seem like a good model to adopt. (To be continued)
02/11/07 @ 1:07 pm
Chuck Kleekamp [Member] writes:
On European Wind

As a comparison, and more successfully, experience shows the average capacity factor of shallow water offshore wind in Denmark is 39%, with the highest at Horns Rev at 45%.

Offshore winds are not subject to long periods of no wind and have relatively constant and predictably strong winds. That’s why the governments in Denmark, Sweden, the Netherlands and the UK have encouraged private utilities to have built 14 projects with 11 more under construction now or staring this year (see footnote 10).

Most are within 20 km of shore in water less than 60 feet using economic monopole foundations. This building boom now is grist for another article.

In comparison, the Cape Wind project, under permitting since 2001, will have a CP of about 40% based on measured data.

While Europe surges ahead, we fuss over the view.

As for integration, it is generally considered that wind energy can meet in their region 20% of electricity demand without posing any serious technical or practical problems for the network – as proven by the example of Denmark.
02/11/07 @ 5:54 pm
neil good [Member] writes:
Chuck, you say; “While Europe surges ahead, we fuss over the view.”

Truth is, we are not fussing alone.

“Wind Farms Feel the Chill of Public Rejection”

http://www.windaction.org/articles/129

“Some of Europe's "greenest" countries are under pressure to backtrack on wind farms as public anger grows over their impact on the countryside.”

“Voters are outraged by the unsightly turbines, the loud, low-frequency humming noise that they create and the stroboscopic effects of blades rotating in sunshine. Opponents are dismayed at the proliferation of the turbines in some of the most beautiful areas of the continent. Conservationists complain that hundreds of birds are killed each month by the rotating blades.”

“Governments which once embraced the giant windmills as a way to generate "clean" power are showing signs of having second thoughts.”

“In France, regional councils have started refusing permission for new developments. Denmark is preparing to scale down the number of windmills...

"The debate over wind power is particularly fierce in Germany."
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About This Blog

The future
Chuck Kleekamp, P.E. Ret., is a director of Clean Power Now and frequently comments on renewable energy and the proposed wind farm on Nantucket Sound.
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